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Joel Alvarez#30 WW
FINISHER
established · 12 UFC fights
23-5
Record
5 KO · 17 SUB · 1 DEC
Wins by method
Recent form
33
Age
191 cm
Height
196 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-08-15
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P90
Volume
P82
Striking Efficiency
P96
Range Sniper
P82
Kickboxing
P93
Clinch Striking
P53
Defensive Striking
P13
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P10
Pressure Wrestling
P18
Top Control
P26
Submission
P99
Anti-Wrestling
P48
Grappling Defense
P30
Scrambler
P42
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P20
Finisher
P98
Damage Resistance
P82
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P34
Pace
P27
Late Fighter
P54
GLOBAL
Versatility
P76
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-08-15
Striking
4.59
Landed / min
Landed / min
- Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
4.13
Absorbed / min
Absorbed / min
- Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
53%
Accuracy
Accuracy
- Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
48%
Defense
Defense
- Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.15
KD / 15 min
KD / 15 min
- Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.00
KD absorbed / 15 min
KD absorbed / 15 min
- Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.15
TD / 15 min
TD / 15 min
- Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.45
TD att / 15 min
TD att / 15 min
- Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
33%
TD accuracy
TD accuracy
- Share of takedown attempts that landed.
48%
TD defense
TD defense
- Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:27
Control / 15 min
Control / 15 min
- Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.90
Sub att / 15 min
Sub att / 15 min
- Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Position
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R290R3114increasing
TakedownsR1100R20R3150increasing
ControlR1100R2530R3746increasing
Ranking evolution
Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
57%
Model correct (4/7)
2/3
Fighter wins when model favored
2/4
Fighter wins when model underdog
1/1
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight
Model vs market
Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2024-08-03
vs Elves Brener Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov62.9%
Model · pick ✓