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Matthew Semelsberger

Matthew Semelsberger

established · 11 UFC fights
11-8
Record
6 KO · 1 SUB · 4 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossLossLossLoss
Recent form
31
Age
185 cm
Height
191 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2024-11-09
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P46
Volume
P59
Striking Efficiency
P50
Range Sniper
P85
Kickboxing
P63
Clinch Striking
P35
Defensive Striking
P44
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P48
Pressure Wrestling
P53
Top Control
P44
Submission
P21
Anti-Wrestling
P11
Grappling Defense
P7
Scrambler
P17
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P87
Finisher
P37
Damage Resistance
P67
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P19
Pace
P31
Late Fighter
P85
GLOBAL
Versatility
P22
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. POWER STRIKER2022-12-17 → CURRENT · 5 fights
  2. PRECISION STRIKER2022-07-30 · 1 fight
  3. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2022-03-12 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2024-11-09
Striking
3.77
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
4.24
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
43%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
54%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
1.26
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.13
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.01
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.77
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
57%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
46%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:35
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.38
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head65%
Body17%
Leg18%
Position
Distance80%
Clinch8%
Ground12%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2155R3135increasing
TakedownsR1100R2344R3481increasing
ControlR1100R2160R3172increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
14%
Model correct (1/7)
1/6
Fighter wins when model favored
1/1
Fighter wins when model underdog
1/4
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2024-11-09
56.8%
Model · pick ✗
→
2024-01-13
56.4%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-07-29
64.6%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-04-22
53.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-12-17
32.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-07-30
51.8%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-03-12
71.7%
Model · pick ✓
→