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Jake Matthews

Jake Matthews#28 WW

DEFENSIVE STRIKER
ANTI-WRESTLER
established · 24 UFC fights
23-9
Record
5 KO · 9 SUB · 9 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinWinLossWin
Recent form
31
Age
180 cm
Height
185 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-05-30
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P51
Volume
P49
Striking Efficiency
P41
Range Sniper
P36
Kickboxing
P34
Clinch Striking
P22
Defensive Striking
P79
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P52
Pressure Wrestling
P60
Top Control
P74
Submission
P78
Anti-Wrestling
P87
Grappling Defense
P66
Scrambler
P76
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P34
Finisher
P37
Damage Resistance
P70
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P38
Pace
P70
Late Fighter
P13
GLOBAL
Versatility
P79
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. DEFENSIVE STRIKER2026-05-30 → CURRENT
  2. SUBMISSION HUNTER2026-05-30 · 1 fight
  3. DEFENSIVE STRIKER2025-02-08 → 2025-09-27 · 3 fights
  4. SUBMISSION HUNTER2023-11-18 → 2024-06-01 · 2 fights
  5. DEFENSIVE STRIKER2022-12-17 → 2023-07-29 · 2 fights
  6. SUBMISSION HUNTER2022-06-11 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-05-30
Striking
3.36
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
2.58
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
44%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
61%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.33
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.22
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.36
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
3.26
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
42%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
67%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
3:58
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.71
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head72%
Body17%
Leg11%
Position
Distance72%
Clinch7%
Ground21%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R293R386declining
TakedownsR1100R2104R3130increasing
ControlR1100R2135R3175increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
67%
Model correct (6/9)
5/7
Fighter wins when model favored
1/2
Fighter wins when model underdog
4/4
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-05-30
vs Carlston Harris Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
74.6%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-09-27
vs Neil Magny Loss · SUB
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes
58.1%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-07-12
vs Chidi Njokuani Win · SUB
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira
41.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-02-08
vs Francisco Prado Win · DEC
UFC 312: Du Plessis vs. Strickland 2
72.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-06-01
vs Phil Rowe Win · DEC
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier
58.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-11-18
vs Michael Morales Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig
36.1%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-07-29
vs Darrius Flowers Win · SUB
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2
72.5%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-12-17
vs Matthew Semelsberger Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland
67.7%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-06-11
vs Andre Fialho Win · KO/TKO
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
60.5%
Model · pick ✓
→