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UFC predictions & fighter analytics
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Rafael Estevam

Rafael Estevam#48 BW

Secondary style
Grappling Controller
provisional · 4 UFC fights
14-1
Record
4 KO · 3 SUB · 7 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinWinWinLoss
Recent form
29
Age
173 cm
Height
175 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-04-04
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P9
Volume
P11
Striking Efficiency
P1
Range Sniper
P3
Kickboxing
P3
Clinch Striking
P16
Defensive Striking
P5
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P89
Pressure Wrestling
P99
Top Control
P99
Submission
P30
Anti-Wrestling
P49
Grappling Defense
P53
Scrambler
P30
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P11
Finisher
P6
Damage Resistance
P50
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P85
Pace
P76
Late Fighter
P17
GLOBAL
Versatility
P4
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-04-04
Striking
1.87
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
4.35
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
32%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
45%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.26
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
5.02
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
15.33
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
33%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
67%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
7:47
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.26
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head69%
Body18%
Leg13%
Position
Distance84%
Clinch5%
Ground11%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2121R3101stable
TakedownsR1100R2129R3112increasing
ControlR1100R2118R362declining

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
75%
Model correct (3/4)
3/4
Fighter wins when model favored
—
Fighter wins when model underdog
2/3
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-04-04
71.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-08-02
81.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-02-15
73.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-11-18
53.9%
Model · pick ✓
→