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Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09-12
85.1%
Model
84.4%
Market
1.14
Odds
+0.7
Edge (pp)
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P100
Striking Initiative
P88
P100
Volume
P97
P100
Striking Efficiency
P59
P97
Range Sniper
P70
P99
Kickboxing
P68
P67
Clinch Striking
P10
P96
Defensive Striking
P21
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P43
Wrestling
P17
P14
Pressure Wrestling
P8
P14
Top Control
P31
P1
Submission
P34
P14
Anti-Wrestling
P42
P26
Grappling Defense
P59
P31
Scrambler
P25
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P95
Power
P6
P73
Finisher
P26
P46
Damage Resistance
P75
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P84
Fast Starter
P5
P56
Pace
P41
P23
Late Fighter
P75
GLOBAL
P61
Versatility
P20
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
BelgarouiSantos
7.98Landed / min6.97
1.63Absorbed / min7.58
67%Accuracy40%
71%Defense48%
1.22KD / 150.00
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
BelgarouiSantos
0.61TD / 150.34
0.61TD att / 151.70
100%TD accuracy20%
56%TD defense80%
1:00Control / 150:55
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
BelgarouiSantos
Head65%|84%
Body20%|8%
Leg15%|8%
Position
BelgarouiSantos
Distance86%|96%
Clinch11%|3%
Ground3%|1%
Ranking evolution Belgaroui Santos
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Yousri Belgaroui
Belgaroui comes in on a five-fight winning streak and 2-0 in the UFC, with the sharper work at range: clean distance management, a reliable chin, and a long, rangy frame he can fight behind. His recent run carries finishing momentum, and none of his recent losses came by stoppage.
Djorden Santos
Santos sits at 1-2 in the UFC with a 11-3 mark across all organizations. His most meaningful weapon here is his finishing threat once the fight hits the mat, where he can hunt for submissions and end exchanges.
Matchup Read
Belgaroui's range striking and reach meet Santos's push to make this a grappling fight, and that collision decides it. If Belgaroui keeps it standing behind his length and solid chin, he controls where the action lives. Santos's path runs through closing that distance and dragging the fight down, where his finishing threat on the mat becomes real. The 10 cm reach gap gives Belgaroui room to fight on the outside and deny clean entries.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Belgaroui uses his length to keep Santos at the end of his punches and off his entries.
- Grappling: how often Santos can close distance and get the fight to the floor, where his submission hunting lives.
- Across three rounds: whether the fight stays standing or repeatedly resets on the mat.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights on Belgaroui's record, there is a limited book on how his range game and durability hold up against a step up in competition.