← UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg
Kevin Holland vs Randy Brown
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04-11
60.1%
Model
42.4%
Market
2.27
Odds
+17.8
Edge (pp)
established · 27 UFC fightsestablished · 27 fights
Style Matchup
established · 21 UFC fightsestablished · 21 fights
STRIKING
P91
Striking Initiative
P70
P79
Volume
P77
P80
Striking Efficiency
P70
P69
Range Sniper
P76
P80
Kickboxing
P72
P73
Clinch Striking
P76
P29
Defensive Striking
P54
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P34
Wrestling
P27
P43
Pressure Wrestling
P22
P20
Top Control
P29
P80
Submission
P59
P12
Anti-Wrestling
P43
P7
Grappling Defense
P59
P54
Scrambler
P68
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P52
Power
P53
P89
Finisher
P42
P87
Damage Resistance
P24
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P75
Fast Starter
P50
P47
Pace
P54
P7
Late Fighter
P19
GLOBAL
P50
Versatility
P66
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
HollandBrown
4.24Landed / min4.49
3.32Absorbed / min3.33
50%Accuracy47%
50%Defense54%
0.36KD / 150.42
0.10KD abs / 150.42
Grappling / Wrestling
HollandBrown
0.88TD / 150.76
2.07TD att / 151.94
43%TD accuracy39%
55%TD defense73%
1:51Control / 152:22
0.57Sub att / 150.56
Targets
HollandBrown
Head55%|62%
Body19%|20%
Leg26%|18%
Position
HollandBrown
Distance75%|78%
Clinch13%|15%
Ground12%|8%
Ranking evolution Holland Brown
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Kevin Holland
Kevin Holland carries serious submission threat and has held up well under fire lately, with no recent stoppage losses on his record. He brings an 8 cm reach advantage to work behind at range. His last win came against the No. 15-ranked opponent, part of a 2/5 run in his last five UFC outings.
Randy Brown
Randy Brown owns the heavier recent knockout power and has edged slightly ahead in getting fights to the mat as well as keeping them standing when he wants. He's won three of his last five in the UFC and holds a 20-7 mark across all organizations.
Matchup Read
Brown's knockout power meets Holland's recent durability, and that collision frames the striking. Holland's longer reach gives him room to manage distance, but Brown's edge in dictating where the fight happens, both taking it down and keeping it up, lets him choose his spots. On the mat the threat flips: Holland's submission game becomes the central danger in any sustained ground exchange, so Brown's grappling control cuts both ways here.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Holland uses the 8 cm reach to keep Brown at the end of his punches or Brown closes into power range.
- Grappling: if Brown puts Holland on his back, watch how quickly Holland hunts submissions off his back.
- Durability: whether Brown's power lands clean and tests a chin that's held up in recent fights.