← UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2
Ryan Gandra vs Zach Reese
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07-11
Ryan GandraLow Data
vs Zach Reese
70.1%
Model
63.3%
Market
1.52
Odds
+6.9
Edge (pp)
provisional · 1 UFC fightsprovisional · 1 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P100
Striking Initiative
P76
P100
Volume
P67
P96
Striking Efficiency
P93
P100
Range Sniper
P75
P76
Kickboxing
P91
P46
Clinch Striking
P56
P50
Defensive Striking
P6
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P29
Wrestling
P86
P0
Pressure Wrestling
P65
P0
Top Control
P45
P18
Submission
P55
P43
Anti-Wrestling
P38
P47
Grappling Defense
P32
P36
Scrambler
P69
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P99
Power
P54
P55
Finisher
P76
P39
Damage Resistance
P56
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P57
Fast Starter
P57
P26
Pace
P69
—
Late Fighter
P60
GLOBAL
P33
Versatility
P70
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
GandraReese
20.49Landed / min4.47
0.00Absorbed / min3.82
48%Accuracy55%
100%Defense43%
21.95KD / 150.26
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
GandraReese
0.00TD / 152.90
0.00TD att / 154.75
—TD accuracy61%
—TD defense55%
0:00Control / 152:46
0.00Sub att / 151.06
Targets
GandraReese
Head100%|51%
Body0%|30%
Leg0%|19%
Position
GandraReese
Distance93%|75%
Clinch0%|11%
Ground7%|13%
Ranking evolution Gandra Reese
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Ryan Gandra
Ryan Gandra rides an eight-fight win streak into this one, 9-1 overall after taking his UFC debut. He brings the busier, more pressuring striking, sharp distance control on the feet, and a chin that has held up under fire. His recent knockout power rounds out a dangerous stand-up package.
Zach Reese
Zach Reese sits at 4-3 in the UFC and 10-3 overall, winning three of his last five in the promotion. His most meaningful threat is on the mat, where his recent submission work stands out. He also carries the longer frame, with 8 cm of reach and height on his side.
Matchup Read
Standing favors Gandra's volume, pressure and distance work, with real finishing power if the exchanges stay upright. On the ground the picture flips toward Reese, whose submission threat is the central danger if he can drag this into grappling exchanges. Reese's 8 cm of reach gives him room to work from the outside, but Gandra's durability and stand-up defense are built to close that gap. The fight likely turns on whether it stays standing or hits the mat.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Gandra can walk Reese down and get inside the longer reach to land his pressure and power.
- Grappling: any time the fight hits the mat, watch whether Reese can isolate a limb or neck and hunt the finish.
- Distance: whether Reese uses his 8 cm reach to keep Gandra at the end of his strikes across three rounds.
Key Uncertainty
Gandra has just a single UFC fight on record, so how his pressure and power hold up against this level of opposition over three rounds remains the main limit to reading this matchup.