← UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2
Arman Tsarukyan vs Mauricio Ruffy
UFC 331: Van vs. Pantoja 2 · 2026-09-19
65.6%
Model
75.0%
Market
1.28
Odds
-9.4
Edge (pp)
established · 12 UFC fightsestablished · 12 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P60
Striking Initiative
P63
P32
Volume
P48
P37
Striking Efficiency
P97
P15
Range Sniper
P100
P22
Kickboxing
P86
P33
Clinch Striking
P19
P39
Defensive Striking
P82
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P89
Wrestling
P5
P82
Pressure Wrestling
P1
P92
Top Control
P7
P57
Submission
P1
P71
Anti-Wrestling
P27
P73
Grappling Defense
P63
P78
Scrambler
P19
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P59
Power
P100
P42
Finisher
P94
P88
Damage Resistance
P75
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P84
Fast Starter
P44
P98
Pace
P1
P80
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P82
Versatility
P31
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
TsarukyanRuffy
3.85Landed / min4.00
1.80Absorbed / min3.75
50%Accuracy57%
55%Defense60%
0.31KD / 152.06
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
TsarukyanRuffy
3.26TD / 150.00
8.66TD att / 150.34
38%TD accuracy0%
75%TD defense85%
6:21Control / 150:39
0.10Sub att / 150.00
Targets
TsarukyanRuffy
Head66%|82%
Body22%|7%
Leg12%|11%
Position
TsarukyanRuffy
Distance62%|84%
Clinch7%|3%
Ground31%|13%
Ranking evolution Tsarukyan Ruffy
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Arman Tsarukyan
Tsarukyan brings a deep résumé: a 10-2 UFC mark, 23-3 overall, five straight wins and a recent victory over the No. 6-ranked opponent. His grappling drives his game, with strong takedown entries and heavy top control, backed by sharp distance management and a durable chin. Last out 9.9 months ago.
Mauricio Ruffy
Ruffy carries real finishing ability and recent knockout power, riding a two-fight streak within a 5-1 UFC run. He owns the physical dimensions here, standing 10 cm taller with an 8 cm reach advantage that lets him operate at length. His tested opposition has been lighter to date.
Matchup Read
Tsarukyan brings the deeper tested résumé, but the matchup turns on Ruffy's finishing threat versus Tsarukyan's grappling. If Ruffy keeps it standing and uses his length to land, his power becomes the central danger. Tsarukyan's answer is to change levels, score the takedown, and grind from top position, taking Ruffy out of striking range. Over five rounds, repeated trips to the mat tilt the exchanges away from the knockout.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Ruffy can use his reach to keep Tsarukyan at the end of his punches and land clean.
- Grappling: how quickly Tsarukyan closes distance and converts entries into sustained top control.
- Late rounds: whether the mat time accumulates for Tsarukyan deep into the championship rounds.