← UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev vs Nikita Krylov
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10-24
54.7%
Model
78.8%
Market
1.22
Odds
-24.1
Edge (pp)
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
Style Matchup
established · 22 UFC fightsestablished · 22 fights
STRIKING
P68
Striking Initiative
P84
P29
Volume
P59
P53
Striking Efficiency
P72
P28
Range Sniper
P58
P3
Kickboxing
P55
P41
Clinch Striking
P90
P44
Defensive Striking
P14
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P85
Wrestling
P74
P100
Pressure Wrestling
P74
P100
Top Control
P75
P89
Submission
P92
P54
Anti-Wrestling
P67
P73
Grappling Defense
P31
P32
Scrambler
P94
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P94
Power
P64
P77
Finisher
P99
P50
Damage Resistance
P37
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P93
Fast Starter
P95
P100
Pace
P93
—
Late Fighter
P42
GLOBAL
P73
Versatility
P77
Current fighter profiles · percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
Striking
YakhyaevKrylov
5.35Landed / min4.38
2.25Absorbed / min2.75
58%Accuracy54%
58%Defense48%
8.45KD / 150.57
0.00KD abs / 150.29
Grappling / Wrestling
YakhyaevKrylov
12.68TD / 152.19
16.90TD att / 155.72
75%TD accuracy38%
—TD defense53%
10:04Control / 155:18
8.45Sub att / 151.14
Targets
YakhyaevKrylov
Head95%|59%
Body5%|25%
Leg0%|16%
Position
YakhyaevKrylov
Distance37%|59%
Clinch0%|23%
Ground63%|18%
Ranking evolution Yakhyaev Krylov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
Yakhyaev arrives perfect at 10-0 overall and 3-0 in the UFC, winning all three of his promotional outings. His game is built around getting the fight to the mat and controlling from top, backed by a sturdy chin, recent submission threats, and tightening defense. Faced lower-ranked opposition last time out.
Nikita Krylov
Krylov is a deeply experienced light heavyweight at 31-12 overall, 12-10 in the UFC, though he's taken two wins in his last five. His most recent victory came against the No. 20-ranked opponent, with his last loss to the No. 10-ranked opponent. His ground control has been trending upward lately. Nine years older than Yakhyaev.
Matchup Read
On the mat the pressure favors Yakhyaev: his level changes and top control pair with a submission threat that's been active recently, and Krylov's own ground game has been improving, so the grappling could become a contest rather than one-way traffic. Standing, Yakhyaev's chin lets him absorb and close distance, while Krylov's edge is the deeper résumé and the volume of five-round experience he's banked over a long career.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Yakhyaev's level changes convert to top control, or Krylov's improved mat work neutralizes him.
- Scrambles: who wins the exchanges when the fight hits the floor and position resets.
- Striking exchanges: whether Yakhyaev's durability lets him walk through shots to set up his entries.