← UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Asaf Chopurov vs Colby Thicknesse
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10-24
Asaf ChopurovLow Data
66.4%
Model
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Market
—
Odds
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Edge (pp)
No UFC data yet
UFC debut · style profile after first fight
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P46
Volume
P51
Striking Efficiency
P23
Range Sniper
P10
Kickboxing
P32
Clinch Striking
P25
Defensive Striking
P43
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P36
Pressure Wrestling
P70
Top Control
P54
Submission
P45
Anti-Wrestling
P61
Grappling Defense
P12
Scrambler
P79
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P8
Finisher
P6
Damage Resistance
P66
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P76
Pace
P90
Late Fighter
P3
GLOBAL
Versatility
P14
Current fighter profiles · percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
Striking
ChopurovThicknesse
—Landed / min3.24
—Absorbed / min2.93
—Accuracy41%
—Defense54%
—KD / 150.00
—KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
ChopurovThicknesse
—TD / 150.67
—TD att / 159.33
—TD accuracy7%
—TD defense33%
—Control / 153:35
—Sub att / 151.67
Targets
ChopurovThicknesse
Head—|55%
Body—|28%
Leg—|16%
Position
ChopurovThicknesse
Distance—|64%
Clinch—|7%
Ground—|29%
Ranking evolution Chopurov Thicknesse
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Asaf Chopurov
Asaf Chopurov arrives unbeaten at 11-0 across all organizations, riding an 11-fight win streak that includes a win over the No. 17-ranked opponent. His most consistent weapon is his submission threat off the ground, and he's shown he can close the show rather than leaning on the judges.
Colby Thicknesse
Colby Thicknesse sits at 9-1 overall and 2-1 in the UFC, winning two of his last three there. His recent run came against modest regional opposition, and he last fought 5.7 months ago.
Matchup Read
Chopurov carries the early finishing danger, with his ground finishing threat the clearest route to end things before the scorecards, while the longer the fight runs the more it works toward Thicknesse's scoring. If Chopurov drags it to the mat, Thicknesse needs to stay off his back and defend the submission chains. Keeping the fight standing and stretching it into later rounds is the safer path for him.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Thicknesse can stay vertical and avoid Chopurov's submission chains once it hits the mat.
- Finishing window: whether Chopurov forces the early stoppage or Thicknesse survives into the later rounds.
- Pace: whether Thicknesse can push the fight toward the scorecards rather than a finish.
Key Uncertainty
Chopurov's perfect record comes without any UFC history, so how his ground finishing holds up against a tested Octagon opponent remains the main open question in reading this one.