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UFC predictions & fighter analytics
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Colby Thicknesse

Colby Thicknesse#58 BW

provisional · 3 UFC fights
9-1
Record
2 KO · 2 SUB · 5 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinLossWinWin
Recent form
27
Age
170 cm
Height
175 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-05-02
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P46
Volume
P51
Striking Efficiency
P23
Range Sniper
P10
Kickboxing
P32
Clinch Striking
P25
Defensive Striking
P43
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P36
Pressure Wrestling
P70
Top Control
P54
Submission
P45
Anti-Wrestling
P61
Grappling Defense
P12
Scrambler
P79
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P8
Finisher
P6
Damage Resistance
P66
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P76
Pace
P90
Late Fighter
P3
GLOBAL
Versatility
P14
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. HIGH-PACE GRINDER2026-05-02 → CURRENT · 1 fight
  2. MIXED PROFILE2025-09-27 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-05-02
Striking
3.24
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
2.93
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
41%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
54%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.00
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.67
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
9.33
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
7%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
33%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
3:35
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
1.67
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head55%
Body28%
Leg16%
Position
Distance64%
Clinch7%
Ground29%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2102R361declining
TakedownsR1100R282R373declining
ControlR1100R252R361declining

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
50%
Model correct (1/2)
1/1
Fighter wins when model favored
1/1
Fighter wins when model underdog
1/1
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-10-24
33.6%
Model
→
2026-05-02
73.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-09-27
26.8%
Model · pick ✗
→