← UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Lone'er Kavanagh vs Ramazan Temirov
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10-24
60.3%
Model
51.4%
Market
1.87
Odds
+8.8
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
Style Matchup
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
STRIKING
P51
Striking Initiative
P97
P63
Volume
P97
P81
Striking Efficiency
P70
P85
Range Sniper
P95
P79
Kickboxing
P74
P34
Clinch Striking
P28
P43
Defensive Striking
P86
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P46
Wrestling
P38
P59
Pressure Wrestling
P10
P38
Top Control
P9
P20
Submission
P4
P70
Anti-Wrestling
P58
P74
Grappling Defense
P83
P52
Scrambler
P28
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P55
Power
P100
P7
Finisher
P48
P56
Damage Resistance
P60
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P14
Fast Starter
P76
P27
Pace
P34
P14
Late Fighter
P42
GLOBAL
P66
Versatility
P47
Current fighter profiles · percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
Striking
KavanaghTemirov
4.10Landed / min4.73
3.94Absorbed / min3.65
50%Accuracy41%
54%Defense62%
0.19KD / 153.38
0.19KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
KavanaghTemirov
1.15TD / 150.68
2.49TD att / 151.35
46%TD accuracy50%
83%TD defense100%
1:51Control / 150:23
0.38Sub att / 150.00
Targets
KavanaghTemirov
Head57%|81%
Body25%|17%
Leg18%|2%
Position
KavanaghTemirov
Distance80%|87%
Clinch8%|9%
Ground12%|5%
Ranking evolution Kavanagh Temirov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Lone'er Kavanagh
Lone'er Kavanagh carries a 10-2 all-organizations mark and a 3-2 UFC run, his last win coming over the No. 5-ranked opponent. He owns a 10 cm reach advantage and a frame to work behind it, and he's hard to hold down, scrambling back to his feet when taken to the mat.
Ramazan Temirov
Ramazan Temirov arrives on a 12-fight win streak, 20-3 overall and 3-0 in the UFC with his last victory over the No. 10-ranked opponent. His recent run shows real knockout power and finishing momentum, and he's shown sharp distance management and solid stand-up defense against quality competition.
Matchup Read
Temirov brings the longer winning streak and the stronger recent results against ranked names, but Kavanagh owns the matchup-specific physical tools. The 10 cm reach gap lets Kavanagh fight at range and contest Temirov's striking, though Temirov's power and defensive sharpness make those exchanges dangerous. If Temirov looks to close and land flush, Kavanagh's ability to scramble up off his back keeps him from being pinned and worn down.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Kavanagh can use his length to keep Temirov at the end of his range or gets drawn into close exchanges.
- Grappling: if the fight hits the mat, how quickly Kavanagh works back to his feet.
- Power moments: whether Temirov finds the flush counter that has been ending his recent fights.