← UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
Kyle Daukaus vs Marc-Andre Barriault
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · 2026-10-17
51.0%
Model
67.2%
Market
1.43
Odds
-16.2
Edge (pp)
established · 9 UFC fightsestablished · 9 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P23
Striking Initiative
P75
P14
Volume
P80
P48
Striking Efficiency
P74
P49
Range Sniper
P78
P37
Kickboxing
P52
P57
Clinch Striking
P94
P4
Defensive Striking
P16
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P62
Wrestling
P5
P93
Pressure Wrestling
P27
P77
Top Control
P23
P95
Submission
P33
P37
Anti-Wrestling
P36
P61
Grappling Defense
P51
P97
Scrambler
P39
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P32
Power
P58
P89
Finisher
P66
P3
Damage Resistance
P63
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P73
Fast Starter
P20
P72
Pace
P33
P35
Late Fighter
P96
GLOBAL
P47
Versatility
P11
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
DaukausBarriault
2.89Landed / min5.54
3.37Absorbed / min6.07
49%Accuracy47%
42%Defense49%
0.46KD / 150.27
1.15KD abs / 150.27
Grappling / Wrestling
DaukausBarriault
1.84TD / 150.27
7.61TD att / 151.17
24%TD accuracy23%
71%TD defense68%
5:59Control / 151:29
0.92Sub att / 150.09
Targets
DaukausBarriault
Head73%|71%
Body13%|21%
Leg13%|8%
Position
DaukausBarriault
Distance71%|67%
Clinch11%|27%
Ground18%|6%
Ranking evolution Daukaus Barriault
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Kyle Daukaus
Kyle Daukaus does his best work on the mat, where his top control and submission threat both stand out, and his get-him-down-and-finish game has been sharp of late. His defensive work has been trending upward recently. At 17-5 across all organizations, he fights from southpaw with a 5 cm reach advantage.
Marc-Andre Barriault
Marc-Andre Barriault brings proven durability, having taken damage without folding in recent fights, and has avoided a stoppage loss recently. His ground control has been trending upward. An orthodox fighter at 18-11 across all organizations, he's been out 8.3 months since his last bout.
Matchup Read
On the mat, Daukaus holds the clearer tools, with top control and a live finishing threat that make any trip to the ground dangerous for Barriault. Standing, Barriault's recent ability to absorb and keep coming matters more, and he'll want to keep this upright over three rounds. The southpaw-orthodox look reshapes the angles for both. Daukaus's rising control game meets Barriault's own improving work there, so scrambles decide whose grappling dictates terms.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Daukaus can secure top position and hunt the finish, or Barriault neutralizes him and works back up.
- Early striking: how the southpaw-orthodox angles and Daukaus's reach shape the exchanges before any level change.
- Late rounds: whether Barriault's durability lets him stay in it deep into the third if the fight stays standing.