← UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates
Brando Pericic vs Shamil Gaziev
UFC Fight Night: Della Maddalena vs. Prates · 2026-05-02
50.2%
Model
58.4%
Market
1.65
Odds
-8.3
Edge (pp)
provisional · 2 UFC fightsprovisional · 2 fights
Style Matchup
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
STRIKING
P98
Striking Initiative
P7
P89
Volume
P5
P97
Striking Efficiency
P32
P49
Range Sniper
P21
P43
Kickboxing
P32
P83
Clinch Striking
P81
P48
Defensive Striking
P4
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P22
Wrestling
P33
P8
Pressure Wrestling
P56
P51
Top Control
P99
P12
Submission
P25
P12
Anti-Wrestling
P48
P51
Grappling Defense
P84
P34
Scrambler
P31
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P38
Power
P79
P81
Finisher
P82
P42
Damage Resistance
P19
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P30
Fast Starter
P42
P80
Pace
P37
—
Late Fighter
P6
GLOBAL
P51
Versatility
P33
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
PericicGaziev
12.91Landed / min2.68
3.23Absorbed / min4.20
64%Accuracy47%
56%Defense45%
0.00KD / 150.33
0.00KD abs / 150.66
Grappling / Wrestling
PericicGaziev
0.00TD / 150.99
0.00TD att / 153.30
—TD accuracy30%
80%TD defense83%
3:14Control / 156:12
0.00Sub att / 150.00
Targets
PericicGaziev
Head75%|70%
Body17%|27%
Leg8%|2%
Position
PericicGaziev
Distance33%|68%
Clinch44%|20%
Ground23%|11%
Ranking evolution Pericic Gaziev
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Brando Pericic
Brando Pericic brings heavy pressure and output on the feet, backed by recent knockout power and a run of finishes across a 4-fight win streak. His chin has held up well in recent outings, and he mixes in sound distance management and stand-up defense. He enters 2-0 in the UFC, 6-1 overall.
Shamil Gaziev
Shamil Gaziev carries the more tested résumé at 14-2 overall and 3-2 in the UFC, with his losses and wins coming against higher-caliber opposition, including a defeat to the No. 11-ranked opponent. His most recent win came over lower-ranked competition, and he's coming off 5.3 months out.
Matchup Read
Pericic's forward pressure and knockout power meet Gaziev's experience against sharper opposition. The feet are where Pericic's advantages concentrate: volume, power, and a chin that has absorbed shots recently. Gaziev's edge is the quality of rooms he's shared, having faced and beaten ranked-level names. Over three rounds, the question is whether Gaziev's seasoning against better opponents offsets Pericic's output and finishing threat in the exchanges.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Pericic can plant his feet and land the power shots behind his pressure, or Gaziev keeps him at the end of his output.
- Durability: how Gaziev handles the volume when Pericic strings together combinations.
- Late rounds: whether Pericic's pace holds across three rounds against the more experienced man.
Key Uncertainty
With only two UFC fights on Pericic's record, there's limited high-level tape to confirm how his pressure and power translate against the caliber of opposition Gaziev has already faced.