← UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Yadier del Valle vs Darren Elkins
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08-08
77.5%
Model
83.5%
Market
1.15
Odds
-6.0
Edge (pp)
provisional · 3 UFC fightsprovisional · 3 fights
Style Matchup
established · 30 UFC fightsestablished · 30 fights
STRIKING
P27
Striking Initiative
P59
P7
Volume
P41
P2
Striking Efficiency
P3
P0
Range Sniper
P4
P10
Kickboxing
P2
P47
Clinch Striking
P78
P62
Defensive Striking
P17
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P44
Wrestling
P85
P15
Pressure Wrestling
P86
P56
Top Control
P86
P84
Submission
P66
P1
Anti-Wrestling
P76
P9
Grappling Defense
P33
P33
Scrambler
P87
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P6
Power
P16
P38
Finisher
P10
P46
Damage Resistance
P49
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P70
Fast Starter
P86
P19
Pace
P96
P36
Late Fighter
P83
GLOBAL
P11
Versatility
P10
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ValleElkins
1.07Landed / min3.40
0.93Absorbed / min3.34
42%Accuracy38%
64%Defense51%
0.00KD / 150.09
0.00KD abs / 150.26
Grappling / Wrestling
ValleElkins
0.69TD / 152.87
0.69TD att / 158.43
100%TD accuracy34%
56%TD defense56%
4:34Control / 155:31
2.78Sub att / 151.07
Targets
ValleElkins
Head35%|76%
Body39%|20%
Leg26%|4%
Position
ValleElkins
Distance61%|58%
Clinch4%|20%
Ground35%|22%
Ranking evolution Valle Elkins
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Yadier del Valle
Yadier del Valle carries recent finishing momentum and a live submission threat into this one, backed by a deep gas tank that lets him hold pace late. His stand-up defense and distance management have been tightening, and his 10-1 overall mark includes a 2-1 UFC run.
Darren Elkins
Darren Elkins brings a long résumé at 29-12 overall and 19-11 in the UFC, with volume and forward pressure on the feet his most reliable tool here. He holds a 5 cm reach edge and has taken 3 of his last 5 inside the Octagon.
Matchup Read
The early rounds bring Elkins's pressure and output against del Valle's sharper distance work and the 5 cm reach he has to close. As the fight stretches across three rounds, the balance tilts toward del Valle's cardio and ability to hold pace late. If exchanges hit the mat, his submission threat becomes the central danger. Elkins's path runs through keeping volume high before del Valle's late-round gas tank takes over.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Elkins can walk del Valle down behind volume, or del Valle keeps him at range with the reach gap neutralized.
- Grappling: any ground exchange raises del Valle's submission threat, so watch how Elkins responds when it goes to the mat.
- Late rounds: whether del Valle's pace holds in round three while Elkins's early output fades.
Key Uncertainty
Elkins enters on a 15.9-month layoff, which makes his current form and sharpness harder to read heading into this one.