← UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Edgar Chairez vs Bruno Silva
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06-06
57.6%
Model
47.7%
Market
2.02
Odds
+9.9
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P22
Striking Initiative
P40
P66
Volume
P46
P79
Striking Efficiency
P83
P97
Range Sniper
P93
P91
Kickboxing
P76
P14
Clinch Striking
P35
P10
Defensive Striking
P8
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P6
Wrestling
P50
P3
Pressure Wrestling
P77
P1
Top Control
P44
P90
Submission
P48
P22
Anti-Wrestling
P15
P4
Grappling Defense
P46
P44
Scrambler
P12
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P38
Power
P87
P92
Finisher
P91
P77
Damage Resistance
P28
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P17
Fast Starter
P35
P2
Pace
P39
P76
Late Fighter
P80
GLOBAL
P23
Versatility
P50
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ChairezSilva
3.76Landed / min4.06
4.88Absorbed / min5.11
46%Accuracy50%
45%Defense47%
0.30KD / 150.66
0.00KD abs / 150.59
Grappling / Wrestling
ChairezSilva
0.00TD / 151.40
0.60TD att / 155.44
0%TD accuracy26%
30%TD defense73%
0:20Control / 152:12
1.51Sub att / 150.15
Targets
ChairezSilva
Head60%|67%
Body20%|19%
Leg20%|14%
Position
ChairezSilva
Distance96%|80%
Clinch2%|9%
Ground2%|11%
Ranking evolution Chairez Silva
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Edgar Chairez
Edgar Chairez brings real finishing threat on the ground, where he can hunt submissions and make his length count. A 15 cm reach advantage and taller frame give him room to operate. His defensive sharpness has been trending upward lately, and he's shown recent durability without eating a stoppage. He's 3-2 in the UFC, 13-6 overall, riding a 2-fight win streak.
Bruno Silva
Bruno Silva's calling card here is his takedown defense and ability to keep exchanges upright, backed by a slight edge in distance management and stand-up defense. Deeply experienced at 38-25 across all organizations, though his recent UFC run reads 1 win in his last 5. His most recent victory came over the No. 43-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
The early rounds lean on whether Chairez can get this down, because Silva's main job is stuffing entries and keeping it standing, where his distance control is a touch sharper. If the fight stays upright across three rounds, Silva's stand-up defense and Chairez's reach both matter at range. But any time Chairez lands a takedown, his submission threat becomes the central danger, and over a short three-round window that ground game is where he flips the math.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Chairez can convert level changes against Silva's takedown defense, and what he threatens once he's on top.
- Early striking: whether Chairez uses his reach to work at range or Silva controls distance and keeps it standing.
- Late rounds: with three rounds scheduled, whether Silva can stay vertical long enough to keep it a striking match.