← UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim
Edmen Shahbazyan vs Brendan Allen
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06-06
51.2%
Model
33.2%
Market
2.90
Odds
+18.0
Edge (pp)
established · 14 UFC fightsestablished · 14 fights
Style Matchup
established · 18 UFC fightsestablished · 18 fights
STRIKING
P29
Striking Initiative
P38
P37
Volume
P29
P63
Striking Efficiency
P82
P75
Range Sniper
P54
P40
Kickboxing
P73
P64
Clinch Striking
P23
P16
Defensive Striking
P10
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P58
Wrestling
P59
P56
Pressure Wrestling
P45
P48
Top Control
P66
P31
Submission
P94
P35
Anti-Wrestling
P76
P36
Grappling Defense
P36
P63
Scrambler
P99
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P98
Power
P21
P94
Finisher
P78
P66
Damage Resistance
P71
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P93
Fast Starter
P97
P49
Pace
P56
P11
Late Fighter
P17
GLOBAL
P38
Versatility
P78
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ShahbazyanAllen
3.64Landed / min3.58
3.57Absorbed / min3.58
48%Accuracy53%
49%Defense48%
0.95KD / 150.22
0.00KD abs / 150.14
Grappling / Wrestling
ShahbazyanAllen
1.63TD / 151.51
4.34TD att / 153.46
38%TD accuracy44%
66%TD defense55%
2:51Control / 154:44
0.41Sub att / 151.08
Targets
ShahbazyanAllen
Head68%|66%
Body25%|22%
Leg8%|13%
Position
ShahbazyanAllen
Distance66%|77%
Clinch15%|6%
Ground19%|17%
Ranking evolution Shahbazyan Allen
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Edmen Shahbazyan
Shahbazyan rides a three-fight win streak, with his striking output climbing recently and his sharpness in exchanges also trending upward. His recent results have held steady without any dip. His last win came over the No. 41-ranked opponent, with his most recent loss against the No. 29-ranked opponent.
Brendan Allen
Allen's grappling carries real teeth: a genuine finishing threat on the ground plus the ability to scramble out of bottom position and work back to his feet. His cardio holds up over the distance, and his recent win over the No. 8-ranked opponent reflects solid work against higher-tier competition.
Matchup Read
Shahbazyan's rising striking volume meets Allen's submission threat on the mat, and that collision frames the fight. If Shahbazyan keeps it standing, his output and climbing accuracy are his route. Allen's danger grows if he can drag it to the floor, where his finishing ability and his knack for returning to his feet both come into play. Over three rounds, Allen's gas tank adds weight to the later going.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Shahbazyan can keep range and let his volume build before the fight hits the mat.
- Grappling: whether Allen can close distance and get it to the floor, where his finishing threat lives.
- Late rounds: whether Shahbazyan's pace holds as Allen's cardio becomes a factor in the third.