← UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song
Sumudaerji vs Alex Perez
UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08-29
54.8%
Model
67.2%
Market
1.43
Odds
-12.4
Edge (pp)
established · 10 UFC fightsestablished · 10 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P84
Striking Initiative
P79
P88
Volume
P62
P85
Striking Efficiency
P40
P73
Range Sniper
P48
P80
Kickboxing
P39
P39
Clinch Striking
P60
P97
Defensive Striking
P76
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P24
Wrestling
P80
P51
Pressure Wrestling
P80
P21
Top Control
P84
P27
Submission
P66
P74
Anti-Wrestling
P37
P68
Grappling Defense
P60
P66
Scrambler
P20
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P73
Power
P67
P59
Finisher
P21
P72
Damage Resistance
P70
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P60
Fast Starter
P48
P47
Pace
P89
P96
Late Fighter
P35
GLOBAL
P65
Versatility
P84
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SumudaerjiPerez
4.43Landed / min4.40
2.35Absorbed / min3.19
51%Accuracy47%
62%Defense60%
0.27KD / 150.91
0.13KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
SumudaerjiPerez
0.67TD / 152.27
1.89TD att / 154.70
36%TD accuracy48%
72%TD defense74%
1:21Control / 154:13
0.54Sub att / 150.61
Targets
SumudaerjiPerez
Head62%|59%
Body15%|18%
Leg24%|23%
Position
SumudaerjiPerez
Distance81%|72%
Clinch8%|13%
Ground11%|14%
Ranking evolution Sumudaerji Perez
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Sumudaerji
Sumudaerji brings length to the flyweight division, working behind an 18cm reach advantage from a southpaw stance with sharp distance management and stand-up defense. His cardio holds up late, keeping pace deep into three rounds, and his top control has been trending upward recently. He rides a three-fight win streak.
Alex Perez
Alex Perez carries real finishing momentum, with recent knockout power that can end things in a single exchange. His deep record across all organizations sits at 26-10, and his last win came against the No. 19-ranked opponent. The threat he poses is compressed into short, decisive bursts.
Matchup Read
On the feet, Sumudaerji's length and southpaw look favor him at range, where he can manage distance and keep the exchanges long. Perez's path runs through his power: closing that gap and landing the kind of shot that ends fights early. If Perez can't force the finish in the opening exchanges, Sumudaerji's cardio and pace become the story as the fight stretches into the later rounds, where volume from distance tips the math his way.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Perez can close the 18cm reach gap and land clean power before the fight settles into range.
- Late rounds: if it reaches the third, watch whose pace holds, with Sumudaerji built to keep working deep.
- Grappling: whether Sumudaerji's top position holds up when the fight hits the mat.