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Joaquin Buckley

Joaquin Buckley#11 WW

POWER STRIKER
established · 17 UFC fights
21-9
Record
15 KO · 0 SUB · 6 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinLossLossLoss
Recent form
32
Age
178 cm
Height
193 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-05-09
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P52
Volume
P75
Striking Efficiency
P16
Range Sniper
P53
Kickboxing
P29
Clinch Striking
P10
Defensive Striking
P82
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P56
Pressure Wrestling
P22
Top Control
P24
Submission
P7
Anti-Wrestling
P45
Grappling Defense
P68
Scrambler
P47
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P92
Finisher
P55
Damage Resistance
P40
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P48
Pace
P57
Late Fighter
P48
GLOBAL
Versatility
P25
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-05-09
Striking
3.62
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.10
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
36%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
59%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.68
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.30
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.43
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
3.15
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
45%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
70%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:39
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.08
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head62%
Body28%
Leg10%
Position
Distance75%
Clinch6%
Ground19%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R297R3104stable
TakedownsR1100R264R314declining
ControlR1100R285R3116increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
85%
Model correct (11/13)
7/8
Fighter wins when model favored
1/5
Fighter wins when model underdog
3/3
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-10-17
vs Mike Malott Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
39.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2026-05-09
vs Sean Brady Loss · DEC
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland
31.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-06-14
vs Kamaru Usman Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley
58.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2024-12-14
vs Colby Covington Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley
53.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-10-05
vs Stephen Thompson Win · KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.
73.7%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-05-11
vs Nursulton Ruziboev Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento
66.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-03-30
vs Vicente Luque Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
55.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-10-07
vs Alex Morono Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Dawson vs. Green
61.4%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-05-20
vs Andre Fialho Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Hill
57.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-12-10
vs Chris Curtis Loss · KO/TKO
UFC 282: Blachowicz vs. Ankalaev
48.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-09-03
vs Nassourdine Imavov Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
36.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-06-18
vs Albert Duraev Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett
39.8%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-02-19
vs Abdul Razak Alhassan Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
57.5%
Model · pick ✓
→