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John Castaneda

John Castaneda#41 BW

DISTANCE KICKBOXER
Secondary style
Precision Striker
established · 9 UFC fights
20-9
Record
7 KO · 7 SUB · 6 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinLossLossLoss
Recent form
34
Age
168 cm
Height
180 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-09-26
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P65
Volume
P65
Striking Efficiency
P87
Range Sniper
P92
Kickboxing
P94
Clinch Striking
P17
Defensive Striking
P43
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P51
Pressure Wrestling
P68
Top Control
P61
Submission
P59
Anti-Wrestling
P82
Grappling Defense
P78
Scrambler
P43
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P59
Finisher
P46
Damage Resistance
P52
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P83
Pace
P42
Late Fighter
P16
GLOBAL
Versatility
P87
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2025-04-26 → CURRENT · 2 fights
  2. PRECISION STRIKER2023-06-03 → 2024-06-08 · 3 fights
  3. VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER2022-10-01 · 1 fight
  4. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2022-02-05 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-09-26
Striking
4.48
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
4.94
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
51%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
54%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.52
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.39
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.42
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
3.63
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
39%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
72%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:21
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.39
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head55%
Body16%
Leg29%
Position
Distance91%
Clinch5%
Ground4%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2107R375declining
TakedownsR1100R2525R3471increasing
ControlR1100R2122R3230increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
43%
Model correct (3/7)
1/3
Fighter wins when model favored
2/4
Fighter wins when model underdog
0/1
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-09-26
vs Alatengheili Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos
62.7%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-04-26
vs Chris Gutierrez Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates
31.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-06-08
vs Daniel Marcos Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov
37.3%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-11-11
vs Kyung Ho Kang Win · DEC
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
54.5%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-06-03
vs Muin Gafurov Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi
25.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-10-01
vs Daniel Santos Loss · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Yan
75.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-02-05
vs Miles Johns Win · SUB
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland
29.1%
Model · pick ✗
→