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UFC predictions & fighter analytics
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Lukasz Brzeski

Lukasz Brzeski#38 HW

limited sample · 7 UFC fights
9-7
Record
5 KO · 2 SUB · 2 DEC
Wins by method
LossWinLossLossLoss
Recent form
33
Age
191 cm
Height
198 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2025-07-19
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P97
Volume
P98
Striking Efficiency
P96
Range Sniper
P74
Kickboxing
P100
Clinch Striking
P15
Defensive Striking
P67
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P4
Pressure Wrestling
P8
Top Control
P4
Submission
P14
Anti-Wrestling
P26
Grappling Defense
P6
Scrambler
P37
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P10
Finisher
P53
Damage Resistance
P7
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P21
Pace
P22
Late Fighter
P27
GLOBAL
Versatility
P16
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2023-08-26 → CURRENT · 5 fights
  2. VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER2023-03-11 · 1 fight
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2025-07-19
Striking
4.69
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.78
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
49%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
55%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.02
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.00
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.76
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
0%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
32%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
0:18
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head45%
Body30%
Leg25%
Position
Distance95%
Clinch5%
Ground0%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2126R385declining
TakedownsR1100R20R30declining
ControlR1100R2630R3817increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
71%
Model correct (5/7)
0/1
Fighter wins when model favored
1/6
Fighter wins when model underdog
0/1
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2025-07-19
26.6%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-12-07
23.6%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-07-27
26.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-04-06
24.0%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-08-26
22.5%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-03-11
65.7%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-08-13
37.8%
Model · pick ✓
→