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Paulo Costa

Paulo Costa#4 LHW

ANTI-WRESTLER
established · 12 UFC fights
16-6
Record
12 KO · 1 SUB · 3 DEC
Wins by method
WinLossLossWinWin
Recent form
34
Age
185 cm
Height
183 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-04-11
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P88
Volume
P84
Striking Efficiency
P99
Range Sniper
P98
Kickboxing
P99
Clinch Striking
P17
Defensive Striking
P20
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P17
Pressure Wrestling
P14
Top Control
P33
Submission
P6
Anti-Wrestling
P95
Grappling Defense
P94
Scrambler
P34
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P85
Finisher
P83
Damage Resistance
P81
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P86
Pace
P18
Late Fighter
P24
GLOBAL
Versatility
P78
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2026-04-11 → CURRENT · 1 fight
  2. PRECISION STRIKER2022-08-20 → 2025-07-19 · 4 fights
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-04-11
Striking
6.15
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
5.96
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
59%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
49%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.59
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.20
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.30
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.69
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
43%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
78%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
0:50
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head45%
Body41%
Leg14%
Position
Distance88%
Clinch5%
Ground6%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R295R391stable
TakedownsR1100R2109R3257increasing
ControlR1100R238R3125increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
60%
Model correct (3/5)
1/1
Fighter wins when model favored
2/4
Fighter wins when model underdog
—
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-04-11
42.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-07-19
33.9%
Model · pick ✗
→
2024-06-01
25.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-02-17
33.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-08-20
68.6%
Model · pick ✓
→