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Sergei Pavlovich

Sergei Pavlovich#4 HW

POWER STRIKER
Secondary style
Volume Pressure Striker
established · 12 UFC fights
21-3
Record
16 KO · 0 SUB · 5 DEC
Wins by method
LossLossWinWinWin
Recent form
34
Age
191 cm
Height
213 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-05-30
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P95
Volume
P83
Striking Efficiency
P71
Range Sniper
P76
Kickboxing
P66
Clinch Striking
P11
Defensive Striking
P59
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P13
Pressure Wrestling
P49
Top Control
P69
Submission
P3
Anti-Wrestling
P56
Grappling Defense
P88
Scrambler
P9
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P100
Finisher
P74
Damage Resistance
P51
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P86
Pace
P60
Late Fighter
P42
GLOBAL
Versatility
P70
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-05-30
Striking
4.49
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.58
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
45%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
56%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
1.89
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.24
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
0.47
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
1.89
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
25%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
75%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
1:48
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
0.00
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head83%
Body11%
Leg6%
Position
Distance82%
Clinch7%
Ground11%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2100R3130increasing
TakedownsR1100R2133R3533increasing
ControlR1100R2418R3559increasing

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
67%
Model correct (6/9)
5/6
Fighter wins when model favored
2/3
Fighter wins when model underdog
—
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-05-30
vs Tallison Teixeira Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Figueiredo
55.9%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-08-23
vs Waldo Cortes Acosta Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang
55.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2025-02-01
vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik Win · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov
61.6%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-06-22
vs Alexander Volkov Loss · DEC
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov
52.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2023-11-11
vs Tom Aspinall Loss · KO/TKO
UFC 295: Prochazka vs. Pereira
49.2%
Model · pick ✓
→
2023-04-22
vs Curtis Blaydes Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Pavlovich vs. Blaydes
43.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-12-03
vs Tai Tuivasa Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
53.0%
Model · pick ✓
→
2022-07-30
vs Derrick Lewis Win · KO/TKO
UFC 277: Pena vs. Nunes 2
38.7%
Model · pick ✗
→
2022-03-19
vs Shamil Abdurakhimov Win · KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Aspinall
66.4%
Model · pick ✓
→