← Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
Edgar Chairez vs Tim Elliott
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09-12
58.5%
Model
66.0%
Market
1.46
Odds
-7.5
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 6 UFC fightslimited · 6 fights
Style Matchup
established · 22 UFC fightsestablished · 22 fights
STRIKING
P34
Striking Initiative
P71
P69
Volume
P49
P81
Striking Efficiency
P17
P100
Range Sniper
P13
P91
Kickboxing
P17
P12
Clinch Striking
P70
P9
Defensive Striking
P57
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P5
Wrestling
P94
P2
Pressure Wrestling
P75
P1
Top Control
P67
P94
Submission
P71
P26
Anti-Wrestling
P66
P12
Grappling Defense
P36
P44
Scrambler
P91
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P67
Power
P10
P94
Finisher
P20
P80
Damage Resistance
P99
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P30
Fast Starter
P96
P2
Pace
P91
P63
Late Fighter
P56
GLOBAL
P29
Versatility
P54
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
ChairezElliott
3.91Landed / min3.51
4.81Absorbed / min3.00
47%Accuracy43%
45%Defense56%
0.83KD / 150.11
0.00KD abs / 150.00
Grappling / Wrestling
ChairezElliott
0.00TD / 153.61
0.56TD att / 157.95
0%TD accuracy45%
46%TD defense59%
0:26Control / 154:29
1.67Sub att / 151.06
Targets
ChairezElliott
Head63%|58%
Body18%|20%
Leg18%|23%
Position
ChairezElliott
Distance95%|66%
Clinch2%|16%
Ground3%|18%
Ranking evolution Chairez Elliott
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Edgar Chairez
Edgar Chairez rides a 3-fight win streak and has taken 4 of his last 5 UFC bouts to a 4-2 promotional mark. His most consistent asset is finishing ability, closing fights before the scorecards, and he carries a 13 cm reach advantage that gives him length to work behind. His defense has also been trending upward recently.
Tim Elliott
Tim Elliott brings the deeper resume at 21-18 overall, with a recent win over the No. 14-ranked opponent. The matchup favors his boxing and distance work, his ability to change levels and drag the fight to the mat, and his control once on top. He also holds the sturdier chin for absorbing damage.
Matchup Read
Standing and on the mat, the tools favor Elliott: his stand-up and his level changes into top control give him routes to grind out three rounds. Chairez's counter is his finishing ability, and against a durable opponent that danger has to come from creating his own space. His length and reach let him fight at distance and discourage the entries, but if Elliett closes and gets him down, escaping the control becomes the whole fight.
What to Watch
- Grappling: whether Elliott gets his level changes in or Chairez uses his reach to keep the fight at range.
- Ground control: if it hits the mat, how long Elliott holds top position versus Chairez working back up.
- Finishing window: whether Chairez can hurt a durable opponent before the fight settles into a grind.