← UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev
Dominick Reyes vs Azamat Murzakanov
UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10-24
63.6%
Model
33.3%
Market
2.89
Odds
+30.3
Edge (pp)
established · 15 UFC fightsestablished · 15 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P93
Striking Initiative
P76
P89
Volume
P64
P94
Striking Efficiency
P95
P90
Range Sniper
P94
P91
Kickboxing
P73
P52
Clinch Striking
P30
P24
Defensive Striking
P56
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P8
Wrestling
P22
P13
Pressure Wrestling
P43
P30
Top Control
P34
P39
Submission
P18
P47
Anti-Wrestling
P38
P96
Grappling Defense
P93
P4
Scrambler
P22
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P90
Power
P99
P68
Finisher
P78
P17
Damage Resistance
P50
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P93
Fast Starter
P30
P40
Pace
P36
P35
Late Fighter
P19
GLOBAL
P63
Versatility
P75
Current fighter profiles · percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).
Striking
ReyesMurzakanov
4.99Landed / min4.47
3.40Absorbed / min3.29
54%Accuracy56%
50%Defense56%
0.89KD / 151.42
0.51KD abs / 150.24
Grappling / Wrestling
ReyesMurzakanov
0.25TD / 150.71
0.89TD att / 153.32
29%TD accuracy21%
83%TD defense89%
1:03Control / 151:27
0.25Sub att / 150.24
Targets
ReyesMurzakanov
Head56%|71%
Body24%|25%
Leg20%|4%
Position
ReyesMurzakanov
Distance75%|69%
Clinch10%|6%
Ground15%|24%
Ranking evolution Reyes Murzakanov
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Dominick Reyes
Dominick Reyes carries a 15 cm reach advantage and the frame to fight long at light heavyweight. His wrestling to drag the fight down is a meaningful tool here, and both his control from top position and his defensive work have been trending upward lately. His chin has held up recently, and he's coming off a win over the No. 14-ranked opponent.
Azamat Murzakanov
Azamat Murzakanov owns a near-spotless 16-1 record and 6-1 inside the UFC. His most dangerous attribute is his ability to end fights before the judges, and his recent run has leaned on finishes rather than decisions. His last win came against the No. 25-ranked opponent.
Matchup Read
Murzakanov's finishing power is the early danger, especially in standing exchanges where one clean shot can close the night. The longer the fight runs, the more Reyes's advantages compound: his length to work from range, his push to get the fight to the mat, and his improving top control. If Reyes can tie up the exchanges and change levels, he shifts the fight toward phases that favor him over distance rather than trading power with Murzakanov.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Reyes uses his 15 cm reach to keep Murzakanov at the end of his punches or gets drawn into close-range trades.
- Grappling: how often Reyes changes levels and whether his top control holds Murzakanov down once there.
- Finishing windows: whether Murzakanov can land the clean shot that has ended his recent fights before the grappling takes over.