← UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld
Quillan Salkilld vs Mateusz Gamrot
UFC Fight Night: Gamrot vs. Salkilld · 2026-08-08
68.1%
Model
53.7%
Market
1.79
Odds
+14.3
Edge (pp)
limited sample · 5 UFC fightslimited · 5 fights
Style Matchup
STRIKING
P82
Striking Initiative
P31
P57
Volume
P17
P88
Striking Efficiency
P62
P72
Range Sniper
P23
P67
Kickboxing
P45
P67
Clinch Striking
P30
P32
Defensive Striking
P71
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P89
Wrestling
P96
P100
Pressure Wrestling
P97
P79
Top Control
P90
P60
Submission
P57
P10
Anti-Wrestling
P50
P52
Grappling Defense
P80
P33
Scrambler
P28
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P95
Power
P30
P61
Finisher
P20
P59
Damage Resistance
P37
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P95
Fast Starter
P94
P99
Pace
P80
P36
Late Fighter
P92
GLOBAL
P83
Versatility
P98
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
SalkilldGamrot
4.77Landed / min3.21
2.26Absorbed / min2.81
60%Accuracy52%
48%Defense60%
1.85KD / 150.10
0.00KD abs / 150.48
Grappling / Wrestling
SalkilldGamrot
6.16TD / 155.22
19.73TD att / 1513.54
31%TD accuracy39%
75%TD defense83%
5:17Control / 154:51
0.62Sub att / 150.19
Targets
SalkilldGamrot
Head64%|77%
Body24%|14%
Leg12%|10%
Position
SalkilldGamrot
Distance69%|75%
Clinch16%|6%
Ground15%|18%
Ranking evolution Salkilld Gamrot
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Quillan Salkilld
Salkilld rides a 12-fight win streak and a perfect 5-0 UFC run, most recently beating a No. 11-ranked opponent. He pairs real takedown ability with recent knockout power and a deep gas tank built to hold pace late. At lightweight he carries a sizable frame, with 13 cm of reach to work behind, and adds steady volume and pressure on the feet.
Mateusz Gamrot
Gamrot owns the far deeper résumé at 26-4 overall and 9-4 in the UFC, though he's gone 3 for his last 5 and dropped his most recent loss to the No. 4-ranked opponent. A southpaw, he comes in on a one-fight win streak over lower-ranked opposition.
Matchup Read
Early, Salkilld's power and forward volume carry the finishing danger, with the long reach and orthodox-versus-southpaw angles shaping the range he fights at. The deeper this goes across five rounds, the more his cardio and ability to hold pace late become decisive. Both can push for takedowns, so mat exchanges may cancel out, placing the decision on who dictates distance and whether Salkilld's output drags Gamrot into the championship rounds on his terms.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Salkilld uses his reach and pressure to land power behind the southpaw-orthodox angle before Gamrot settles in.
- Grappling: who initiates the takedowns and whether either man can establish sustained top position rather than trading scrambles.
- Championship rounds: whether Salkilld's pace holds into rounds four and five or Gamrot's experience lets him grind back late.