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UFC predictions & fighter analytics
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Tom Nolan

Tom Nolan#23 LW

limited sample · 6 UFC fights
11-1
Record
5 KO · 1 SUB · 5 DEC
Wins by method
WinWinWinWinWin
Recent form
26
Age
191 cm
Height
185 cm
Reach
Style DNAcurrent profile · updated 2026-10-13· fight data through 2026-06-06
STRIKING
Striking Initiative
P89
Volume
P91
Striking Efficiency
P58
Range Sniper
P46
Kickboxing
P67
Clinch Striking
P64
Defensive Striking
P21
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
Wrestling
P37
Pressure Wrestling
P61
Top Control
P42
Submission
P37
Anti-Wrestling
P45
Grappling Defense
P33
Scrambler
P59
DAMAGE / FINISHING
Power
P29
Finisher
P28
Damage Resistance
P31
FIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
Fast Starter
P68
Pace
P86
Late Fighter
P19
GLOBAL
Versatility
P27
Percentiles vs current established UFC fighters (8+ fights).

Archetype history

  1. VOLUME PRESSURE STRIKER2025-02-08 → CURRENT · 3 fights
  2. DISTANCE KICKBOXER2024-05-18 → 2024-08-17 · 2 fights
UFC Stats & Rankinglatest data · through 2026-06-06
Striking
4.72
Landed / mini
Landed / min
  • Significant strikes landed per minute of fighting.
3.80
Absorbed / mini
Absorbed / min
  • Significant strikes absorbed per minute of fighting.
45%
Accuracyi
Accuracy
  • Share of significant strikes attempted that landed.
48%
Defensei
Defense
  • Share of the opponents' significant strikes that missed.
0.00
KD / 15 mini
KD / 15 min
  • Knockdowns scored per 15 minutes of fighting.
0.56
KD absorbed / 15 mini
KD absorbed / 15 min
  • Knockdowns suffered per 15 minutes of fighting.
Grappling / Wrestling
1.11
TD / 15 mini
TD / 15 min
  • Takedowns landed per 15 minutes of fighting.
4.17
TD att / 15 mini
TD att / 15 min
  • Takedowns attempted per 15 minutes of fighting.
27%
TD accuracyi
TD accuracy
  • Share of takedown attempts that landed.
58%
TD defensei
TD defense
  • Share of the opponents' takedown attempts stopped.
2:43
Control / 15 mini
Control / 15 min
  • Average control time per 15 minutes of fighting (min:sec).
1.39
Sub att / 15 mini
Sub att / 15 min
  • Submission attempts per 15 minutes of fighting.
Striking profile · share of significant strikes landed
Targets
Head50%
Body32%
Leg18%
Position
Distance77%
Clinch16%
Ground6%
Fight dynamics · volume by round · index, R1 = 100
StrikingR1100R2101R379declining
TakedownsR1100R2133R3167increasing
ControlR1100R2184R393stable

Ranking evolution

Up DownFighters with a UFC fight in the previous 18 months
Model track record
50%
Model correct (3/6)
3/4
Fighter wins when model favored
2/2
Fighter wins when model underdog
3/3
Strategy bets won
Over the fights covered by the walk-forward test window (since 2022).
Win probability, fight by fight

Model vs market

Model Market (opening) Win Loss
Fights
2026-06-06
44.3%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-09-27
36.5%
Model · pick ✗
→
2025-02-08
54.5%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-08-17
75.8%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-05-18
73.6%
Model · pick ✓
→
2024-01-13
68.6%
Model · pick ✗
→