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Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · 2026-09-12
59.9%
Model
63.4%
Market
1.52
Odds
-3.5
Edge (pp)
Style Matchup
established · 20 UFC fightsestablished · 20 fights
STRIKING
P93
Striking Initiative
P51
P93
Volume
P24
P85
Striking Efficiency
P38
P84
Range Sniper
P11
P80
Kickboxing
P15
P2
Clinch Striking
P96
P56
Defensive Striking
P25
GRAPPLING / WRESTLING
P25
Wrestling
P98
P7
Pressure Wrestling
P92
P37
Top Control
P97
P19
Submission
P4
P45
Anti-Wrestling
P55
P86
Grappling Defense
P18
P4
Scrambler
P28
DAMAGE / FINISHING
P77
Power
P57
P37
Finisher
P51
P96
Damage Resistance
P18
· style, not skillFIGHT DYNAMICS· style, not skill
P55
Fast Starter
P55
P48
Pace
P98
P85
Late Fighter
P69
GLOBAL
P67
Versatility
P69
Fighter profiles as of this fight · percentiles vs established UFC fighters (8+ fights) at that date.
Striking
AcostaBlaydes
5.18Landed / min4.18
3.61Absorbed / min2.84
49%Accuracy52%
55%Defense54%
0.61KD / 150.16
0.00KD abs / 150.40
Grappling / Wrestling
AcostaBlaydes
0.41TD / 154.64
0.82TD att / 1510.24
50%TD accuracy45%
74%TD defense35%
1:25Control / 156:37
0.10Sub att / 150.00
Targets
AcostaBlaydes
Head71%|73%
Body15%|11%
Leg14%|15%
Position
AcostaBlaydes
Distance88%|54%
Clinch3%|18%
Ground9%|28%
Ranking evolution Acosta Blaydes
AI Matchup Analysis
Generated by an LLM from structured matchup data. It does not determine the model's win probability.
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Cortes Acosta owns real knockout power and has been finishing fights lately, carrying clear stopping momentum into this one. His takedown defense is a strength, letting him keep exchanges standing, and his work from top position has been trending upward. His last win came against the No. 14-ranked opponent.
Curtis Blaydes
Blaydes brings a strong push to drag fights to the mat, backed by a 5 cm reach advantage. His striking volume has been climbing recently, and his output has held steady without recent decline. He carries a deep 19-6 record across all organizations.
Matchup Read
The central collision is early versus late: Cortes Acosta carries the knockout threat and finishing momentum that make the opening minutes dangerous, while Blaydes wants to change levels and get this to the mat, where his top game grinds across three rounds. That runs straight into Cortes Acosta's takedown defense. If he stays upright, his power dictates; if Blaydes lands entries, his control and rising volume take over.
What to Watch
- Early striking: whether Cortes Acosta can plant his feet and load up his power before Blaydes closes distance.
- Grappling: whether Blaydes' level changes get through, or Cortes Acosta stuffs them and resets standing.
- Late rounds: if it hits the mat, whether Cortes Acosta scrambles back up or Blaydes rides top control through the third.